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Patrick Mathern

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    Santa Barbara, CA
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    Cost analysis, price analysis, supplier rate and factor audits, business system reviews, training, consulting, exchanging ideas, networking

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  1. LeighHar - reach out to me directly via email. I have someone on my team with experience in this and should be able to help quickly and won't likely cost you anything unless you want us to do the work for you. We are currently building novations into SpendFile, a SpendLogic module that deals with electronic procurement files...the shared insights here would be beneficial to all. patrick@spendlogic.com
  2. Typo. Should have said: What if we all focused on one piece of the puzzle: Why does a limitation of 10% apply to non-R&D CPFF? Why not 17.5%? Or 4.6%? Where did the 10% come from? OP talked about the "original ranges" - this conversation is about statute, but not in a vacuum. WGL is a very widely-utilized tool with a foundation in statute.
  3. I'll gladly walk back my editorial commentary, Vern, but haven't yet seen anything that leads me any closer to the "analysis and theory" that went into the WGL. This is a great study, but does not provide insight into "how the original ranges" were developed. This article simply explains the WGL development as a tool that fits profit within the range limits set forth by the FAR. It appears their point is that KO's weren't using consistent logic in analyzing profit, so they set out to create something and voila! Weighted Guildelines was born. Thus, the study appears to support an idea that "there appears to be no logical basis for the original ranges other than they allowed the WG to "calculate" profit ranges that fit the desired target rates (7-15%ish)." What if we all focused on one piece of the puzzle: Why does a limitation of 15% apply to non-R&D CPFF? Why not 17.5%? Or 4.6%? Where did the 15% come from?
  4. You asked the right question on the right day. I have been researching this very topic recently as part of a DARPA-funded initiative and below is a raw dump of what I've found. I'd be happy to talk through this more. Spoiler Alert: There appears to be no logical basis for the original ranges other than they allowed the WG to "calculate" profit ranges that fit the desired target rates (7-15%ish). It's just a house of cards that appears unrelated to the market-based profit rates earned in the private sector. (My editorial opinion.) The Dump: August 1942, Limitation of War Profits, Edward Stimson (https://scholarship.law.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=9271&context=penn_law_review) “The large profits by manufacturers of war materials…are in sharp contrast to the wages of men in our armed forces. The resulting pressure on Congress for some limitation upon war profits has resulted in a number of proposals and several bills.” March 27, 1934, Vinson-Trammel Act Secretary of the Navy should not let contracts >$10K unless contractor agreed to pay all profit in excess of 10% (profit after tax) June 25, 1936, amendment to Vinson-Trammel to make the excess payable in the year in which the contract was completed Merchant Marine Act of 1936: Added a clause that no salary over $25K/year should be considered a part of the calculation for excess profits. Suggested reviewing costs to make sure they were fair, just, and not in excess of reasonable market prices Act of April 3, 1939 – extended Vinson-trammel to Army aircraft…increased profit from 10% to 12% March 16, 1942: The Smith Bill Requires “every naval contractor” whose fiscal year contracts completed exceed $10K to limit profit to 6% of total contract cost (does not allow taxes to be calculated out) Opposition: “Limitation based on the cost of completing the contract would leave a profit which would in many cases bear no reasonable relation to capital invested. Total cost of completion of contracts completed in any one year might be a fraction of the invested capital or several times the amount of invested capital. If the total cost of completing the contracts completed in one year was one-third of the invested capital, then the profit would only be two percent. If the total cost was four times the invested capital, then the permitted profit would be twenty-four precent of the capital. Permits profit as a percent of cost. Only applies to war contracts…incentivizes companies to work with commercial customers over the government. Did not apply to subs High cost of auditing They felt that an excess profits tax would be a better remedy. It was suggested that a tax of 75% of profits in excess of $500K would work well. Impact of the Weighted Guidelines Profit System on Defense Contract Fees April 8, 1970, The Rand Corporation (https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/AD0703274.pdf) WWI: introduction of various excess profit taxes. From 1911 to 1913, a tax was applied to any profit in excess of the average of the period 1911-1913, or profit in excess of 10% on invested capital, whichever was greater. This was the last time rate of return on investment was figured into profit policy After WWI, production returned to government facilities. 1930’s: Government increasingly turned to commercial entities for production; contracts were negotiated one by one without a framework for looking at profit overall. WWII: Instead of excess profit taxes, new statutes emerged that had renegotiation clauses. At end of the contract, the actual costs were inspected and re-evaluated for fairness. 1944 amendments contained wording that implied intent to create a broader standard for profit Included looking at pre-war earnings, risk, contractor efficiency, extent and type of subcontracting, turnover rate, capital employed, and contractor’s net worth During this time and throughout the 1950’s, there was an aversion to creating a formula to determine profits. All profit analysis was done on a case-by-case basis. Armed services procurement act of 1947: Forbids cost-plus-percentage-of-cost contracting and CPFF cannot exceed 10%, unless it’s R&D, then it’s 15% “With cost-based procurement prices, the appropriate fee is a part of the problem of determining a price; but determining an appropriate profit is also a problem in determining the rate of return on investment capital, which is required to make defense production attractive to a sufficient number of producers. The former problem has received great attention from officials ever since the start of WWII. The later problem is recognized in principle, but has been largely avoided in practice.
  5. Hi Caitlin - If you've allowed the sub to include G&A on travel, then it's the sub's G&A rate that would be applied. This is the cost to you, the Prime, which is what is then passed to the government. Applying the sub's G&A to travel does not impact whether or not you need to submit an incurred cost submission. However, I'm not familiar with the specifics of your contract, so you will want to get clear with your contracting officer to understand whether you have ICS requirements on the travel line or not. My guess is that they would have structured the contract in such a way to avoid an ICS on this piece, but you'll want to clarify.
  6. I am attempting to research the negotiated fee % paid by DoD (DARPA, more specifically) on CPFF contracts. I've searched records on FPDS and SAM - I don't see anywhere that I can obtain the fee data as a percent of cost. This leads me to believe my only path forward is a FOIA request. Does anyone have insight into... 1. Whether this data already exists somewhere 2. Whether this is a valid FOIA request 3. What agency this should be directed to
  7. @Retreadfed and @Vern Edwards: Thanks for that input - are you saying that firms were open to R&D contracts as a way to bring in revenue in lean times? Or what did the contractors get out of the deal that made it attractive? Were these firms in question new to government contracting, or was having ongoing government work part of their strategy?
  8. To take a step back and clarify, I'm specifically talking about profit as a tool to increase interest in DoD R&D efforts. Increasing profit is likely to increase that interest, but I'm not saying it's the only lever or that it's the even most impactful lever. You mentioned data rights, Vern, and I agree that this is a big factor in whether a firm decides to work with the government or not. There are other factors as well. Where the WGL comes into play is how contractors and contracting officers view it as being directly related to the effort required. Does it ask the right questions and produce the answer expected given the situation? Small businesses surely don't believe that to be the case. Who else might feel slighted and why? That's where I would like to go. Have thoughts on this? This group absolutely has the depth of knowledge to shed light on this.
  9. I can’t speak for “Industry” as a whole at this point. This is exactly what we hope to ascertain in the near future. We are designing a survey that hopes to get some insight into this and other considerations regarding profit that results from WGL. “Alternate approaches” to the WGL have been mentioned a few times in this thread, but I’ve yet to see specific examples presented that meet FAR/DFARS requirements. Anybody have one they could share?
  10. I appreciate this perspective, but I think there’s a different incentive that the DoD is currently concerned with that this comment doesn’t consider: Current profit levels attract current offerors. Raising profit levels could inspire new entrants to the DoD marketplace (specifically in R&D scenarios). I don’t have hard evidence to support this, Vern, but basic economic theory holds that if you offer more money to do a job, it will be more interesting to a larger group of potential workers.
  11. Good point - what are some other areas that the WGLs miss the mark, especially in the case where the government is trying to entice new commercial entities to take on CPFFs?
  12. SpendLogic has received an award from DARPA to research the government's calculation and application of profit objectives, as they relate to R&D contracts. Currently, this is accomplished using the Weighted Guidelines. In industry, the Weighted Guidelines is generally regarded as a game - a subjective set of rules that have little or no bearing on reality. Similarly, in a conversation with one Contract Specialist recently, it was noted that the WGL "uses magic to come up with a profit value." This comment was tongue-in-cheek, but the point made aligned with the position of Industry: The values resulting from a Weighted Guidelines analysis are generally arbitrary and mysterious with little or no obvious relation to the work being completed. I'm looking for anyone that might have knowledge on how the WGL calculations came to be. For example, WHY is the standard value for performance risk 5%? Why not 4.72% or 6.39%? I'm familiar with the regulatory history, but would like to know more about the origins of the calculations themselves. Anybody have this knowledge or source material tucked away somewhere?
  13. Regarding this... I would never recommend sending your weighted guidelines. There are too many pitfalls and a good negotiator will be able to shoot down your points without much effort. This is subjective, but here's my two cents based on experience: Save profit for last and be prepared to start talking bottom-line pricing before too long. It's not the norm to come to full agreement on all elements of cost and profit. Bottom-line negotiations allows each side to get what they need out of the agreement and show whatever profit they want.
  14. Is certified cost or pricing data (CCOPD) required in this situation? At the very least, this is a poor explanation. If no CCOPD requirement applies, then as Joel notes, the author should at least provide an explanation of the data that they used to arrive at this conclusion. Same applies if CCOPD is required, but the requirement for supporting data is greater. As for the details above, you may be going too deep for what's required. If the author can cite and provide the supporting data (and any calculations) that led to their stated conclusion, that should be sufficient.
  15. This is less of a FAR question and more of a contract question. What does your RFP say? Most contractors state in the RFP to subs that providing a proposal does not entitle them to a contract. Without a contract, there’s no basis for payment.
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