Interesting. Thank you for the indepth references. There are still a few areas of concern.
Does the fact that most of the recent contracts for similar items are not only with the US Government entities, but international entities, affect the analysis? The terms and conditions of the contract, length of the contract, competition received in response to the requirement, even general contracting process, etc. are unknown at this point. What level of information should be collected from the offeror to adequately make this analysis have substance.
Also, what qualifies as "prior cntracts" for the purposes of this analysis. Say, less than 5 years?